Note from the MD: Markets jump as dovish RBA steadies hand on interest rates

Australian markets jumped yesterday after the Reserve Bank kept rates flat at 0.1% and reassured observers it will need to see improvement in wages growth before it looks to lift borrowing costs.

Australian markets jumped yesterday after the Reserve Bank kept rates flat at 0.1% and reassured observers it will need to see improvement in wages growth before it looks to lift borrowing costs.

Governor Philip Lowe noted, however, that inflation has picked up faster than the central bank expected, and officially called the end to the RBA’s bond-buying program for Tuesday, 10th February.

Australia has not seen the kind of inflationary pressures that other countries are currently wrestling with, which has forced skittish retail investors to look for safe-havens and pushed gold demand to its highest quarterly level since 2019.

In the US, the Federal Reserve has already signalled it is prepared to raise rates numerous times this year alone.

Meanwhile, Scott Morrison’s appearance at the National Press Club yesterday saw the launch of a new $1.6 billion program designed to help commercialise the innovative ideas coming from Australia’s research industry.

Details of the program have so far been obscured by the usual politicking and scandal-mongering that follows Morrison’s speeches, but what we do know is the money is earmarked for the resources, clean energy, medical products, recycling and defence industries.

And while yesterday didn’t see the flurry of activity we saw at the tail end of last week, it was still a fairly busy day on markets with almost 1,850,000 trades made through the ASX.

The XJO ASX 200 Index has gained 0.26% so far this week, slowly starting to recover from the volatile and bearish movements in the weeks prior, falling -2.62% and -2.95%. The index has been able to break back above the key support level of 7000 for now, but will be a level of interest for the short-term traders and the medium-term outlook for the market.

Investors gained confidence as the RBA held the cash rate at 0.1% for now, with the central bank stating they’ll keep these levels until actual inflation is sustainably between 2% and 3%. CPI inflation was recorded at 3.5%.

As we head into reporting season, fund managers are expecting to see higher costs of doing business – courtesy of more expensive freight, among other pressures – weigh on companies.

PPE manufacturer Ansell (ASX: ANN) reported supply disruption, operational challenges and price increases in freight and labour costs, resulting in lower earnings guidance; down 13.69% so far this week.

There are a handful of big names reporting this week but things will really start to gather pace next week, when Commonwealth Bank, Suncorp, AGL and several other heavyweight blue-chips release their results.

We have an IPO investment opportunity with Far East Gold, a gold exploration company with six advanced projects, including two with the potential to be world class, and multiple walk-up drill targets already identified.

This investment is closing on Friday and is an opportunity to become a shareholder with a company led by some of the biggest names in Australian mining, including Justin Werner of Nickel Mines (ASX: NIC). If you would like to know more about the opportunity, click here to read the prospectus or join us today at 2pm (AEDT) for a live investor briefing. Book here.

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